10-06-2020, 08:53 AM
Week 39 figures (week ended 25th September) are out and again a (high) average week. Figures for week 39 are 9,634 deaths compared with 9,517 in 2019 and the 5YA of 9,377 (all for England and Wales). The deaths for the week are above average but only just and are now running at about average figures for the last 16 weeks overall (back to week ended 12th June). Excess deaths for the year against the 5 Years average (for E&W) is just short of 54k and against 2019 is 61.3k.
As a side note, in all of the figures there is one outlier that if I were analysing it, and that is week 36 which only registered 7,739 deaths which was a massive 1.5k below that weeks average (no real issue with the figure but I would be looking at it as an anomaly) as that is also below the average for any week during the year at a point where you would be expecting it to rise.
The patients admitted to hospital figures continue to rise but again slowly compared with the earlier part of the tear and show 386 admitted in England on the 3rd October, again still below the figure when they started measuring properly on March 19th which was 586. It is rising though and something to watch carefully.
Aldo the same with patients in hospital with 2,593 in England on the 5th Oct. This is virtually the same as the figure on the 22nd March but not rising as quickly as at that point (21st March was 2,092 and the 4th Oct was 2,329).
Patients on ventilators is also rising with 331 on the 5th October, a long way off the April figures of 1,494 on the 1st April.
All in all this shows that it is still with us and I would expect it to be rising at this time of year with the weather changing meaning more time indoors, students returning and other seasonal factors but nothing that shouldn't have been predicted.
Keep safe folks - keep wearing the masks, washing hands and social distancing where possible.
As a side note, in all of the figures there is one outlier that if I were analysing it, and that is week 36 which only registered 7,739 deaths which was a massive 1.5k below that weeks average (no real issue with the figure but I would be looking at it as an anomaly) as that is also below the average for any week during the year at a point where you would be expecting it to rise.
The patients admitted to hospital figures continue to rise but again slowly compared with the earlier part of the tear and show 386 admitted in England on the 3rd October, again still below the figure when they started measuring properly on March 19th which was 586. It is rising though and something to watch carefully.
Aldo the same with patients in hospital with 2,593 in England on the 5th Oct. This is virtually the same as the figure on the 22nd March but not rising as quickly as at that point (21st March was 2,092 and the 4th Oct was 2,329).
Patients on ventilators is also rising with 331 on the 5th October, a long way off the April figures of 1,494 on the 1st April.
All in all this shows that it is still with us and I would expect it to be rising at this time of year with the weather changing meaning more time indoors, students returning and other seasonal factors but nothing that shouldn't have been predicted.
Keep safe folks - keep wearing the masks, washing hands and social distancing where possible.