11-11-2020, 08:19 AM
Back to some numbers. The Liverpool mass testing madness to find the virus actually has some expected results.
0.7% positive rate (162 from 23170).
So even if you took the false positive rate for this PCR test to be 0.7%, which would be unheard of (too low) for actual gold standard multi primer, low cycle tests, then we can safely say they have currently proved on this sample there is no covid in Liverpool.
Of course there will be but it's not an epidemic and certainly not worthy of shutting the city for....
0.7% positive rate (162 from 23170).
So even if you took the false positive rate for this PCR test to be 0.7%, which would be unheard of (too low) for actual gold standard multi primer, low cycle tests, then we can safely say they have currently proved on this sample there is no covid in Liverpool.
Of course there will be but it's not an epidemic and certainly not worthy of shutting the city for....