01-22-2021, 10:57 AM
I certainly don't know the answer but assuming that there are no logistical issues I think that by Easter it is reasonable to suggest that around 35-40 million people could have some form of immunity. I have based this on the following:
- If 15 million can get the jab by mid Feb then it is reasonable to expect another 10-15 million to also be completed by early April.
- Assuming the fatality rate to be 1% then it can be suggested that around 10 million have already had Covid (or will have by Easter). The fact that ONS claimed that 1 in 8 people had been infected by the end of December then my calculation is not too far out.