Another shocking week for deaths reported (wk 3 to 22nd Jan) in England and Wales with over 18.5k deaths in that week with the 5YA being just over 13k and the worst in the last decade being just short of 15k. That takes the excess death for 2021 (3 weeks) to over 15k (about 40% higher than the 5YA) now and in the covid period over 95k.
Looking at the age groups most impacted, as expected the over 60s are taking the biggest hit increase on 2020 with the 60-64 age group 62% higher than last year and all those ages groups above around the 40% higher level. It's worth pointing out that all other age groups apart from the 20s are between 25 and 50% higher as well. However it needs to be remembered that % don't tell the whole picture and can sound worse than they are, for example 15-19 age group is 120% above normal (220%) but for the week that only totalled 22 compared with 10 in 2020.
Now for the good news, the numbers in hospital are steadily falling in line with expectation but we need to be patient with that as it has just dropped below the 28k number so a long way to go. Also vaccinations are moving on with 9.3M receiving the 1st dose as of a couple of days ago which is equivalent to more than all the over 70s in the UK and the 2nd dose is sitting around the half a million still. I'm guessing we'll be over the 10M today or tomorrow and that should be greeted with a small fanfare hopefully.
Hoping that the govt see sense and get the teachers vaccinated so that we can open up the schools fully. I did hear the point that it's effectively queue jumping, but (if I have the right figure) there are only 1M that work in schools which is the equivalent of 3 days delay for the rest of us, that isn't a lot of time lost for a great deal of benefit gained IMO.
Looking at the age groups most impacted, as expected the over 60s are taking the biggest hit increase on 2020 with the 60-64 age group 62% higher than last year and all those ages groups above around the 40% higher level. It's worth pointing out that all other age groups apart from the 20s are between 25 and 50% higher as well. However it needs to be remembered that % don't tell the whole picture and can sound worse than they are, for example 15-19 age group is 120% above normal (220%) but for the week that only totalled 22 compared with 10 in 2020.
Now for the good news, the numbers in hospital are steadily falling in line with expectation but we need to be patient with that as it has just dropped below the 28k number so a long way to go. Also vaccinations are moving on with 9.3M receiving the 1st dose as of a couple of days ago which is equivalent to more than all the over 70s in the UK and the 2nd dose is sitting around the half a million still. I'm guessing we'll be over the 10M today or tomorrow and that should be greeted with a small fanfare hopefully.
Hoping that the govt see sense and get the teachers vaccinated so that we can open up the schools fully. I did hear the point that it's effectively queue jumping, but (if I have the right figure) there are only 1M that work in schools which is the equivalent of 3 days delay for the rest of us, that isn't a lot of time lost for a great deal of benefit gained IMO.