UK Covid death toll

[baggy1]

Shouldn’t the vaccine start having an effect on hospital numbers at some point before then? With the older population being prioritised - also the most likely to end up in hospital - we’d expect to see a fast drop than the first wave, wouldn’t we? 

Cheers again for doing the research B1.

That's a good point Malc as the number going in should be less. The indicator will be if the reduction in hospital beds occupied number starts to go down by more than 15% a week.

In the 1st wave it was:
12th April 18974 (peak)
19th April 16928 (89% of previous week)
26th April 14174 (84%)
3rd May 12119 (86%)
10th May 9893 (82%)
17th May 8611 (87%)
24th May 7415 (86%)
31st May 5933 (80%)

As we've started with a very similar figure (86%) after the 1st full week of dropping, the impacts of vaccines should make that drop quicker in theory.