03-15-2021, 04:29 PM
(This post was last modified: 03-15-2021, 04:30 PM by Borin' Baggie.)
(03-15-2021, 04:22 PM)strawman Wrote:(03-15-2021, 03:30 PM)Borin' Baggie Wrote:(03-15-2021, 11:06 AM)baggy1 Wrote:(03-15-2021, 10:50 AM)strawman Wrote:(03-15-2021, 09:35 AM)baggy1 Wrote: Netherlands has also now suspended use, it appears to be madness. The normal incidence of blood clots in the general population is 1 in 1000 annually, and there have been 40 cases after 17M doses administered. The next bit is guesswork to calculate an equivalent so if i've got this wrong, apologies. We've had 17M doses in (rounded down) 2 months with 40 cases so times 40 by 6 to get to a 12 month equivalent and we have 240 cases in 17,000,000 which equates to about 1 in every 70,000 incidence compared with 1 in 1000 normally.
Someone tell me if I've got that wrong but it seems madness to stop based on tha
If my maths are right - Normal incidence is 1 in a 1000 or 0.1% - 40 in 17m is 0.0002% incidence and unless many more cases happen then it will stay at 0.0002% - Excuse my scepticism but there seems to have been an ongoing effort to discredit AZ
Edit could be wrong B1 but you appear to have multiplied the number of incidences by 6 but not the number of injections
Good shout SM, they were big numbers
It really does appear to be some sort of politicking going on, almost like they are covering their own arses after completely fucking up the orders.
I don't think it is politicking. France hasn't suspended it's use and they're the ones who sowed the doubt in the first place due to the stupid comments from Macron. And Iceland and Norway have suspended it.
France and Germany halted it now
Yeah, saw that Germany has.
Still not sure how this is politicking. The DRC, Indonesia, Norway and Iceland have reacted in the same way in halting the AZ rollout and they're not in the EU. I think it's easier to look at Austria which has opted to suspend certain batches (suggesting manufacturing issues that we're independent from), and the EMA have still recommended using the AZ vaccine while they conduct tests.