(03-24-2021, 05:49 PM)baggy1 Wrote: 16th Sept - 929
23rd Sept - 1,439 (1.55 x previous week)
30th Sept - 2,036 (1.41 x pw)
7th Oct - 3,066 (1.51 x pw)
14th Oct - 4,313 (1.41 x pw)
21st Oct - 6,271 (1.45 x pw)
28th Oct - 9,070 (1.45 x pw)
4th Nov - 11,037 (1.22 x pw)
11th Nov - 12,730 (1.15 x pw)
18th Nov - 14,490 (1.14 x pw)
25th Nov - 14,240 (0.98 x pw)
2nd Dec - 13,212 (0.93 x pw)
9th Dec - 13,467 (1.02 x pw)
16th Dec - 15,465 (1.15 x pw)
23rd Dec - 17,834 (1.15 x pw)
30th Dec - 22,713 (1.27 x pw)
6th Jan - 27,727 (1.22 x pw)
13th Jan - 32,689 (1.18 x pw)
20th Jan - 33,886 (1.04 x pw)
27th Jan - 30,846 (0.91 x pw)
3rd Feb - 26,374 (0.86 x pw)
10th Feb - 20,926 (0.79 x pw)
17th Feb - 16,458 (0.79 x pw)
24th Feb - 13,007 (0.79 x pw)
3rd Mar - 9,594 (0.74 x pw)
10th Mar - 6,945 (0.73 x pw)
17th Mar - 5,397 (0.77 x pw)
24th Mar - 4,005 (0.74 x pw)
31st Mar - 3,084 (0.77 x pw)
Another good week in so much as the reduction in the numbers in hospital has continued to decrease at the same rate as before the schools were re-opened. Schools were reopened on the 8th March, the theory is that if serious cases are coming it takes two weeks to filter through to hospital admission which would have been from the 22nd, so we have had nearly two weeks since then with no noticeable increase (or reduction in decrease) so it looks like that part of the restriction easing is safe.
Obviously a big change in easing restrictions over the past couple of days so we will keep monitoring the hospitalisations to see where that takes us. Two weeks from the 29th takes us up to the 12th when there will be further easing with shops and pub gardens opening. So far so good though. Worth pointing out that it was the end of June when we had the equivalent number in hospital and we were on the down slope like now but that does indicate that, if we follow the same trend, we are in for a decent few months and hopefully the vaccinations should mean that we don't have an upturn later in the summer.
Also the vaccination programme carries on at pace with over 31M now having received their 1st dose which is nearly 60% of the over 18s. That does make that discussion about vaccine passports moot really but expect to see it still being discussed for a while longer to ensure the take-up continues. Added to that there are 4.5M who have had both doses which is just under 9% of the adult population.
Compare this to the continent (and in fact the majority of the rest of the world) and it does show how far ahead we are. All positive news and being completed at a sensible pace to enable reaction time to any blips.