04-29-2021, 07:36 AM
Far too early to say KKC as there are too many variables with this virus. We don't know how long the antibodies last for those that have had either covid or the jab at this point and the 25% of the population figure is another unknown as there could have been many more that didn't show symptoms. The telling point will be this winter when we will get a better picture if the hospitalisations start to rise significantly again.
In the meantime all is looking good and when I get today's figures it should show that we are still on that nice '20% reduction in hospitalisations a week' rate meaning that the relaxations are not causing a slow down in the recovery. Looking at how the rest of the world is coping, India obviously but Turkey and Germany in lockdown, France under heavy restrictions and the UK ploughing ahead with the vaccination program. If we ease up now by either speeding up the relaxations of the lockdown and / or start to hit resistance / reluctance to take the jab by the under 50s then it could put a spanner in the works.
In the meantime all is looking good and when I get today's figures it should show that we are still on that nice '20% reduction in hospitalisations a week' rate meaning that the relaxations are not causing a slow down in the recovery. Looking at how the rest of the world is coping, India obviously but Turkey and Germany in lockdown, France under heavy restrictions and the UK ploughing ahead with the vaccination program. If we ease up now by either speeding up the relaxations of the lockdown and / or start to hit resistance / reluctance to take the jab by the under 50s then it could put a spanner in the works.