07-28-2021, 04:38 PM
I've always been dubious about case numbers Rich, the peak of the cases 12th July to 16th July (between 43k and 60k) are at the same time as we were testing about 1m per day. We're now testing about 800k a day with 27k a day cases (which has gone back up today btw). It really has too many variables thrown in, number of tests carried out, number of people with symptoms getting testing or going with the 'i don't want to know' approach in case it stops them working or going on holiday. I have relied on the hospitalisation data and will update the regional figures on Friday - a couple of the regions have plateaued over the past two or three days but that is too short a time span to read anything into.
There are definitely signs that it could be easing off but we need longer term trends to be certain otherwise we will get back to square 1. We've also still got to get to two weeks after the removal of restrictions to see what impact that will have.
There are definitely signs that it could be easing off but we need longer term trends to be certain otherwise we will get back to square 1. We've also still got to get to two weeks after the removal of restrictions to see what impact that will have.